Colorado Avalanche at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-12-04 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 6 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 33.9%
COL: 66.1%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.87
COL: 3.22
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | NYI | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.908 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs COL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | NYI 6 - 3 COL | NYI | COL |
| 2025-11-16 | COL 4 - 1 NYI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 COL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-14 | COL 2 - 6 NYI | NYI | COL |
| 2024-01-02 | COL 5 - 4 NYI | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 6 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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