Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 9 - 4 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 59.2%

SEA: 40.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 5.54

SEA: 3.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	EDM	SEA
Season SV%	0.874	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.69	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	32	28	4	87.5%	4.55	4	0.55
SEA	Joey Daccord	32	23	9	71.9%	3.67	2	-5.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs SEA: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	EDM 3 - 1 SEA	EDM	SEA
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	0	1.05
1	SEA	16	0	1.04
2	EDM	13	0	0.94
2	SEA	22	2	2.24
3	EDM	16	2	1.68
3	SEA	14	2	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 9.2

Score Breakdown