Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-12-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 66.9%

CHI: 33.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.47

CHI: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	LAK	CHI
Season SV%	0.913	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	36	34	2	94.4%	2.63	0	0.63
CHI	Spencer Knight	27	26	1	96.3%	2.43	0	1.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs CHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	LAK 6 - 0 CHI	LAK	LAK
2025-12-04	LAK 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	LAK
2025-10-26	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-20	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-03	CHI 5 - 1 LAK	CHI	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	LAK	14	0.79
1	CHI	16	0.65
2	LAK	20	0.99
2	CHI	16	1.01
3	LAK	13	0.64
3	CHI	16	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown