Vegas Golden Knights at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-12-05 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 58.4%
VGK: 41.6%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.34
VGK: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | NJD | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs VGK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | VGK 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | VGK |
| 2025-12-05 | NJD 0 - 3 VGK | VGK | NJD |
| 2025-03-02 | VGK 2 - 0 NJD | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-06 | NJD 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | NJD |
| 2024-03-17 | VGK 3 - 1 NJD | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:47 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:36 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:36 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8