Vegas Golden Knights at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-12-05 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

NJD: 47.1%

VGK: 52.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.01

VGK: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs VGK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	VGK 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	VGK
2025-12-05	NJD 0 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-02	VGK 2 - 0 NJD	VGK	VGK
2025-02-06	NJD 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2024-03-17	VGK 3 - 1 NJD	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	8	0	0.29
1	VGK	18	0	1.03
2	NJD	18	1	1.29
2	VGK	10	0	0.80
3	NJD	12	0	0.42
3	VGK	7	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0