Utah Hockey Club at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-12-05 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 43.1%

UTA: 56.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.03

UTA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Stat	VAN	UTA
Season SV%	0.885	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	2.68

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	18	14	4	77.8%	2.93	2	-1.07
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	33	32	1	97.0%	3.63	2	2.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • VAN at home vs UTA: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	VAN 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-02-02	UTA 6 - 2 VAN	UTA	UTA
2025-12-05	VAN 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-16	VAN 1 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-23	UTA 2 - 1 VAN	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	18	1	1.28
1	UTA	12	0	1.01
2	VAN	21	1	1.64
2	UTA	10	0	0.48
3	VAN	11	0	0.71
3	UTA	12	2	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown