Washington Capitals at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-12-05 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Washington Capitals (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 44.1%

WSH: 55.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.16

WSH: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	WSH 7 - 4 ANA	WSH	ANA
2025-12-05	ANA 4 - 3 WSH	ANA	WSH
2025-03-11	ANA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-01-14	WSH 3 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH
2024-01-16	WSH 2 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	17	0	0.83
1	WSH	18	1	1.24
2	ANA	20	0	1.65
2	WSH	12	2	1.33
3	ANA	12	0	0.60
3	WSH	7	0	0.19
4	ANA	5	1	0.92
4	WSH	3	1	0.33
5	ANA	3	2	1.79
5	WSH	3	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2