New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-12-06 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 56.9%

NJD: 43.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.18

NJD: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Stat	BOS	NJD
Season SV%	0.903	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.84	2.52

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	30	29	1	96.7%	2.25	2	1.25
NJD	Jake Allen	22	18	4	81.8%	3.10	2	-0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs NJD: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	BOS
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	7	0	0.47
1	NJD	16	1	0.76
2	BOS	9	1	0.95
2	NJD	17	1	0.94
3	BOS	19	1	1.69
3	NJD	15	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown