Utah Hockey Club at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-06 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

CGY: 52.3%

UTA: 47.7%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.03

UTA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CGY at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CGY 4 - 1 UTA	CGY	UTA
2025-12-06	CGY 2 - 0 UTA	CGY	CGY
2025-10-15	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-04-01	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-01-02	CGY 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	2	1.34
1	UTA	18	1	1.44
2	CGY	12	1	0.89
2	UTA	11	1	0.74
3	CGY	13	1	0.97
3	UTA	9	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0