Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-06 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

EDM: 71.2%

WPG: 28.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.69

WPG: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs WPG: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	2	1.80
1	WPG	9	0	0.67
2	EDM	13	0	0.81
2	WPG	6	0	0.16
3	EDM	10	0	0.87
3	WPG	20	0	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8