Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-06 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 69.4%

WPG: 30.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.39

WPG: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Stat	EDM	WPG
Season SV%	0.896	0.880
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.81	3.49

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	21	19	2	90.5%	2.21	0	0.21
WPG	Eric Comrie	27	21	6	77.8%	3.48	2	-2.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs WPG: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	2	1.80
1	WPG	9	0	0.67
2	EDM	13	0	0.81
2	WPG	6	0	0.16
3	EDM	10	0	0.87
3	WPG	20	0	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown