Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-12-06 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 64.8%
WPG: 35.2%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.27
WPG: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | EDM | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs WPG: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | WPG 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | WPG |
| 2025-12-29 | WPG 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | WPG |
| 2025-12-06 | EDM 6 - 2 WPG | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-13 | WPG 1 - 4 EDM | EDM | WPG |
| 2025-03-20 | EDM 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:00 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 04:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 07:24 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 13:31 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 02:42 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 04:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 13:29 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 15:25 | EDM | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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