Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-12-06 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 49.8%

DET: 50.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.13

DET: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

Stat	SEA	DET
Season SV%	0.903	0.893
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.97

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	25	21	4	84.0%	3.63	3	-0.37
DET	John Gibson	27	24	3	88.9%	3.10	1	0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs DET: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-18	DET 4 - 2 SEA	DET	SEA
2025-02-04	SEA 4 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-12	DET 6 - 2 SEA	DET	DET
2024-02-19	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	17	1	1.27
1	DET	14	1	1.12
2	SEA	23	0	1.16
2	DET	15	1	1.81
3	SEA	9	0	0.67
3	DET	12	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown