Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-12-07 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 40.0%
COL: 60.0%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.99
COL: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs COL: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | COL 3 - 7 PHI | PHI | COL |
| 2025-12-07 | PHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-02-02 | COL 2 - 0 PHI | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-18 | PHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-01-20 | PHI 4 - 7 COL | COL | PHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 7 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 1 | COL | 18 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 2 | PHI | 13 | 1 | 0.63 |
| 2 | COL | 19 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 3 | PHI | 19 | 2 | 1.63 |
| 3 | COL | 8 | 0 | 0.64 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
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