New York Islanders at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-12-07 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

FLA: 59.7%

NYI: 40.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.24

NYI: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • FLA at home vs NYI: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	0.72
1	NYI	15	1	0.84
2	FLA	15	0	0.70
2	NYI	13	0	0.77
3	FLA	13	2	1.92
3	NYI	8	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1