San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-12-07 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 67.7%
SJS: 32.3%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.28
SJS: 2.11
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | CAR | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.941 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | CAR 1 - 4 SJS | SJS | CAR |
| 2025-10-14 | SJS 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-20 | SJS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | SJS |
| 2024-12-10 | CAR 3 - 2 SJS | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-10-27 | CAR 3 - 0 SJS | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:18 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 00:33 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 15:14 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:54 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:40 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 67.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.1