San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-12-07 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 68.5%

SJS: 31.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.54

SJS: 2.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CAR at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	CAR 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	CAR
2025-10-14	SJS 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-20	SJS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-10	CAR 3 - 2 SJS	CAR	CAR
2023-10-27	CAR 3 - 0 SJS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	18	0	1.12
1	SJS	8	0	0.62
2	CAR	9	0	0.41
2	SJS	14	2	1.40
3	CAR	30	2	2.04
3	SJS	9	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 4.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 2.5 - 2.3