St. Louis Blues at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-12-07 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 59.7%
STL: 40.3%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.46
STL: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | MTL | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.778 | 0.942 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | STL 2 - 0 MTL | STL | STL |
| 2025-12-07 | MTL 3 - 4 STL | STL | MTL |
| 2025-03-25 | STL 6 - 1 MTL | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-26 | MTL 5 - 2 STL | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-02-11 | MTL 2 - 7 STL | STL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:03 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:20 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:57 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:05 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:26 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:15 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:24 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9