Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-12-07 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WSH: 66.7%

CBJ: 33.3%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.91

CBJ: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WSH

Logan Thompson - 15-11-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.39 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	WSH	CBJ
Season SV%	0.913	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.39	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	Logan Thompson	39	39	0	100.0%	3.05	0	3.05
CBJ	Jet Greaves	38	36	2	94.7%	4.92	6	2.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • WSH at home vs CBJ: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	1	0.90
1	CBJ	14	0	0.67
2	WSH	26	4	2.52
2	CBJ	16	0	1.10
3	WSH	16	1	1.50
3	CBJ	21	0	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown