Los Angeles Kings at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-12-08 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 61.1%

LAK: 38.9%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.40

LAK: 2.46

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	UTA	LAK
Season SV%	0.895	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	27	23	4	85.2%	3.90	6	-0.10
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	21	19	2	90.5%	2.19	1	0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	LAK 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	LAK
2026-03-22	UTA 4 - 3 LAK	UTA	UTA
2025-12-08	UTA 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	UTA
2025-04-03	UTA 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	UTA
2025-02-22	LAK 5 - 3 UTA	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	12	0	0.64
1	LAK	17	1	1.14
2	UTA	10	0	0.55
2	LAK	10	0	0.34
3	UTA	13	1	1.01
3	LAK	12	5	2.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown