Buffalo Sabres at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-08 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CGY: 50.6%

BUF: 49.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.34

BUF: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-08	CGY 7 - 4 BUF	CGY	CGY
2025-11-19	BUF 2 - 6 CGY	CGY	BUF
2025-01-23	CGY 5 - 2 BUF	CGY	CGY
2024-11-09	BUF 3 - 2 CGY	BUF	BUF
2024-03-24	CGY 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	17	0	0.91
1	BUF	13	0	0.88
2	CGY	13	4	1.71
2	BUF	23	1	1.61
3	CGY	9	2	1.37
3	BUF	12	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0