Buffalo Sabres at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-12-08 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 58.0%
BUF: 42.0%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.16
BUF: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | CGY | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs BUF: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | CGY 7 - 4 BUF | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-19 | BUF 2 - 6 CGY | CGY | BUF |
| 2025-01-23 | CGY 5 - 2 BUF | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-11-09 | BUF 3 - 2 CGY | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-03-24 | CGY 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:22 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 09:54 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 17:27 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 16:32 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 14:14 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 13:43 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 07:05 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 04:24 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 19:53 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:12 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 17:29 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1