Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-12-08 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 56.7%

MIN: 43.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.24

MIN: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Stat	SEA	MIN
Season SV%	0.920	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.32	2.47

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	29	25	4	86.2%	4.90	4	0.90
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	24	23	1	95.8%	1.76	1	0.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs MIN: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MIN 5 - 2 SEA	MIN	MIN
2026-01-08	SEA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-08	SEA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA
2025-03-19	MIN 4 - 0 SEA	MIN	MIN
2025-03-04	SEA 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	15	1	0.68
1	MIN	15	0	1.09
2	SEA	14	0	0.56
2	MIN	16	1	1.48
3	SEA	16	0	0.53
3	MIN	15	3	2.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown