New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-12-09 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 58.1%

NJD: 41.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.12

NJD: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	17	2	1.28
1	NJD	19	0	1.07
2	OTT	18	2	1.27
2	NJD	12	1	0.91
3	OTT	23	1	1.20
3	NJD	12	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6