San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-12-09 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 63.3%
SJS: 36.7%
Expected Goals
PHI: 4.26
SJS: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | PHI | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.944 | — |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • PHI at home vs SJS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | PHI 4 - 1 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-31 | SJS 0 - 4 PHI | PHI | SJS |
| 2024-11-11 | PHI 4 - 3 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-12 | PHI 3 - 2 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2023-11-07 | SJS 2 - 1 PHI | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:39 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 11:33 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:48 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 03:20 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:17 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.4
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 4.3 - 3.1