San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-12-09 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

PHI: 67.6%

SJS: 32.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.74

SJS: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs SJS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	SJS 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	SJS
2025-12-09	PHI 4 - 1 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-12-31	SJS 0 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI
2024-11-11	PHI 4 - 3 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-03-12	PHI 3 - 2 SJS	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	22	1	1.69
1	SJS	7	1	0.79
2	PHI	15	0	1.19
2	SJS	9	1	0.66
3	PHI	5	1	0.60
3	SJS	10	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7