Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-12-09 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 57.1%

BOS: 42.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.06

BOS: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs BOS: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	STL 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	STL
2025-12-04	BOS 5 - 2 STL	BOS	BOS
2024-11-16	BOS 2 - 3 STL	STL	BOS
2024-11-12	STL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	STL
2024-03-11	BOS 1 - 5 STL	STL	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	12	0	1.07
1	BOS	15	0	0.64
2	STL	7	0	0.35
2	BOS	24	0	1.55
3	STL	17	1	1.00
3	BOS	14	5	2.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9