Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-12-09 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

WPG: 46.1%

DAL: 53.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.02

DAL: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • WPG at home vs DAL: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	1	0.87
1	DAL	11	0	0.87
2	WPG	19	1	1.56
2	DAL	12	0	0.73
3	WPG	12	1	1.20
3	DAL	9	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5