EDM vs BUF - 2025-12-09
2025-12-09 • Rogers Place
EDM 3 - 4 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 68.8%
BUF: 31.2%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.20
BUF: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 12-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.73 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:01 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:03 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:59 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:10 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:56 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:58 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 00:33 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
EDM 3 - 4 BUF
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0