Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-12-09 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche (SO)
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 40.2%
COL: 59.8%
Expected Goals
NSH: 2.91
COL: 3.37
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs COL: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | COL 3 - 7 NSH | NSH | COL |
| 2025-12-13 | COL 4 - 2 NSH | COL | COL |
| 2025-12-09 | NSH 4 - 3 COL | NSH | COL |
| 2025-11-22 | NSH 0 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-02-22 | NSH 2 - 1 COL | NSH | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 1 | COL | 14 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 2 | NSH | 8 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 2 | COL | 22 | 0 | 1.31 |
| 3 | NSH | 14 | 2 | 1.70 |
| 3 | COL | 18 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 4 | NSH | 5 | 1 | 0.59 |
| 4 | COL | 4 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 5 | NSH | 3 | 1 | 0.97 |
| 5 | COL | 3 | 0 | 0.25 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4
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