New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-12-10 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 0 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 47.0%

NYR: 53.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.02

NYR: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	CHI	NYR
Season SV%	0.909	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	21	21	0	100.0%	2.30	1	2.30
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	25	22	3	88.0%	2.95	2	-0.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs NYR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	NYR 6 - 1 CHI	NYR	NYR
2025-12-10	CHI 3 - 0 NYR	CHI	NYR
2025-01-05	CHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	CHI
2024-12-09	NYR 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	NYR
2024-02-09	CHI 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	17	0	0.99
1	NYR	10	0	0.57
2	CHI	13	1	1.09
2	NYR	18	1	1.07
3	CHI	9	1	0.87
3	NYR	7	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown