Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-12-10 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 49.5%

LAK: 50.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.21

LAK: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	SEA	LAK
Season SV%	0.903	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	26	24	2	92.3%	3.01	1	1.01
LAK	Anton Forsberg	33	30	3	90.9%	3.81	2	0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs LAK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	SEA 3 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-02-04	LAK 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-23	LAK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-10	SEA 3 - 2 LAK	SEA	LAK
2025-04-15	SEA 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	0	0.75
1	LAK	17	0	0.87
2	SEA	23	1	1.36
2	LAK	9	0	0.43
3	SEA	15	1	1.58
3	LAK	19	1	1.70
4	SEA	1	0	0.11
4	LAK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3