Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYI: 51.7%

ANA: 48.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.98

ANA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI

David Rittich - 10-5-2 | 0.909 SV% | 2.46 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Stat	NYI	ANA
Season SV%	0.909	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.46	3.25

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	David Rittich	33	31	2	93.9%	3.26	1	1.26
ANA	Ville Husso	37	32	5	86.5%	3.79	2	-1.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	NYI
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	0	1.13
1	ANA	18	1	1.17
2	NYI	22	0	1.50
2	ANA	18	0	0.83
3	NYI	12	2	1.16
3	ANA	23	0	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown