Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

NYI: 50.7%

ANA: 49.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.88

ANA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	0	1.13
1	ANA	18	1	1.17
2	NYI	22	0	1.50
2	ANA	18	0	0.83
3	NYI	12	2	1.16
3	ANA	23	0	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1