Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)

Win Probability

WSH: 32.8%

CAR: 67.2%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.00

CAR: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WSH at home vs CAR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	10	1	0.89
1	CAR	17	0	0.83
2	WSH	8	0	0.43
2	CAR	29	1	1.96
3	WSH	15	0	1.12
3	CAR	15	0	1.07
4	WSH	3	1	0.59
4	CAR	0	0	0.00
5	WSH	3	0	0.21
5	CAR	2	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4