Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-12-11 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

MIN: 57.4%

DAL: 42.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.35

DAL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • MIN at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	1.17
1	DAL	6	0	0.27
2	MIN	24	1	1.46
2	DAL	10	0	0.30
3	MIN	11	2	1.95
3	DAL	13	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1