Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-12-11 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 59.4%
BOS: 40.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.19
BOS: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | WPG | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs BOS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | WPG 3 - 6 BOS | BOS | WPG |
| 2025-01-30 | BOS 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | BOS |
| 2024-12-10 | WPG 8 - 1 BOS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-01-22 | BOS 4 - 1 WPG | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-12-22 | WPG 5 - 1 BOS | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:37 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 11:08 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 10:28 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 08:24 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 05:59 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 17:46 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 14:36 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:04 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 14:43 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8