Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-12-11 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 55.7%
BOS: 44.3%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.18
BOS: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | WPG | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.778 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs BOS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | BOS 6 - 1 WPG | BOS | WPG |
| 2025-12-11 | WPG 3 - 6 BOS | BOS | WPG |
| 2025-01-30 | BOS 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-10 | WPG 8 - 1 BOS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-01-22 | BOS 4 - 1 WPG | BOS | WPG |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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