Seattle Kraken at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-12-12 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 3 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 59.7%

SEA: 40.3%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.32

SEA: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	UTA	SEA
Season SV%	0.895	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	37	34	3	91.9%	3.66	0	0.66
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	33	28	5	84.8%	6.29	10	1.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs SEA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	SEA 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-17	UTA 6 - 3 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-12-12	UTA 5 - 3 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-08	UTA 7 - 1 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-14	SEA 4 - 2 UTA	SEA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	3	1.35
1	SEA	13	0	0.86
2	UTA	20	3	1.80
2	SEA	18	0	1.28
3	UTA	16	4	3.14
3	SEA	18	0	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown