Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 59.1%

ANA: 40.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.52

ANA: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	NJD	ANA
Season SV%	0.912	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	31	30	1	96.8%	2.55	0	1.55
ANA	Lukas Dostal	22	18	4	81.8%	4.45	2	0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD
2024-03-01	ANA 4 - 3 NJD	ANA	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	1.28
1	ANA	14	0	0.64
2	NJD	17	0	1.20
2	ANA	15	0	0.76
3	NJD	8	2	1.96
3	ANA	19	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown