Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 47.9%

OTT: 52.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.22

OTT: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	OTT 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	OTT
2025-12-13	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT
2025-02-01	OTT 6 - 0 MIN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-29	MIN 1 - 3 OTT	OTT	MIN
2024-04-02	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	8	0	0.35
1	OTT	15	1	1.12
2	MIN	20	1	1.48
2	OTT	24	2	2.06
3	MIN	6	1	1.01
3	OTT	16	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8