Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

Win Probability

NYR: 54.4%

MTL: 45.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.31

MTL: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NYR at home vs MTL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NYR 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-12-13	NYR 5 - 4 MTL	NYR	NYR
2025-10-18	MTL 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	MTL
2025-01-19	MTL 5 - 4 NYR	MTL	MTL
2024-11-30	NYR 4 - 3 MTL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	22	3	2.20
1	MTL	14	1	1.28
2	NYR	12	1	0.94
2	MTL	7	1	0.72
3	NYR	13	0	0.75
3	MTL	12	0	0.34
4	NYR	7	2	1.16
4	MTL	2	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1