Vegas Golden Knights at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 40.6%

VGK: 59.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.79

VGK: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

VGK

Carter Hart - 4-2-3 | 0.883 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Stat	CBJ	VGK
Season SV%	0.909	0.883
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	3.18

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	26	23	3	88.5%	1.87	0	-1.13
VGK	Carter Hart	30	28	2	93.3%	2.13	0	0.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CBJ at home vs VGK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	VGK 5 - 3 CBJ	VGK	VGK
2025-12-13	CBJ 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-13	CBJ 0 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-30	VGK 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	VGK
2024-03-23	VGK 4 - 2 CBJ	VGK	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CBJ	10	0.53
1	VGK	14	0.84
2	CBJ	12	0.78
2	VGK	14	0.73
3	CBJ	15	0.82
3	VGK	12	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown