Washington Capitals at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 40.7%

WSH: 59.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.01

WSH: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs WSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	WPG 5 - 1 WSH	WPG	WSH
2025-11-26	WSH 4 - 3 WPG	WSH	WSH
2025-03-25	WPG 3 - 2 WSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-01	WSH 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WSH
2024-03-24	WSH 3 - 0 WPG	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	0	0.86
1	WSH	4	0	0.14
2	WPG	13	0	0.91
2	WSH	11	1	0.53
3	WPG	19	0	1.37
3	WSH	19	0	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3