Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-12-13 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 0 - 4 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 56.3%
FLA: 43.7%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.25
FLA: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | DAL | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs FLA: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | DAL 0 - 4 FLA | FLA | DAL |
| 2025-11-01 | FLA 4 - 3 DAL | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-11-02 | FLA 4 - 2 DAL | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-11-01 | DAL 4 - 6 FLA | FLA | DAL |
| 2024-03-12 | DAL 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 19:45 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:45 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:19 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:12 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 0 - 4 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.4