Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

COL: 81.3%

NSH: 18.7%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.53

NSH: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Stat	COL	NSH
Season SV%	0.919	0.875
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.13	3.29

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Scott Wedgewood	29	27	2	93.1%	3.23	1	1.23
NSH	Justus Annunen	41	37	4	90.2%	6.13	8	2.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • COL at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	16	0	1.07
1	NSH	15	1	1.23
2	COL	20	4	1.89
2	NSH	20	0	1.51
3	COL	20	4	3.16
3	NSH	9	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown