Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-12-13 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Calgary Flames (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 58.2%

CGY: 41.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.59

CGY: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • LAK at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	14	0	0.65
1	CGY	17	0	0.89
2	LAK	13	1	1.43
2	CGY	19	0	1.59
3	LAK	15	0	0.78
3	CGY	9	0	0.47
4	LAK	0	0	0.00
4	CGY	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7