Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-12-13 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Calgary Flames (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 58.0%
CGY: 42.0%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.22
CGY: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | LAK | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.947 | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • LAK at home vs CGY: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | LAK 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-04-17 | LAK 1 - 5 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-01-11 | CGY 2 - 1 LAK | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-11-11 | CGY 3 - 1 LAK | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-04-11 | LAK 4 - 1 CGY | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:41 | LAK | Goal |
| 4 | 01:06 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0