Utah Hockey Club at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-12-14 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 5 Utah Hockey Club (OT)

Win Probability

PIT: 34.5%

UTA: 65.5%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.00

UTA: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	UTA 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	UTA
2025-12-14	PIT 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-29	UTA 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	UTA
2024-11-23	PIT 1 - 6 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	7	0	0.30
1	UTA	17	0	1.13
2	PIT	4	0	0.26
2	UTA	20	1	1.10
3	PIT	11	0	0.97
3	UTA	21	1	1.36
4	PIT	0	0	0.00
4	UTA	1	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4