Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-12-14 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 6 - 2 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 45.0%

BOS: 55.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.22

BOS: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	MIN	BOS
Season SV%	0.912	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.47	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	31	29	2	93.5%	2.79	1	0.79
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	31	25	6	80.6%	2.57	0	-3.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs BOS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BOS 6 - 3 MIN	BOS	BOS
2025-12-14	MIN 6 - 2 BOS	MIN	BOS
2025-03-02	MIN 1 - 0 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-02-04	BOS 3 - 0 MIN	BOS	BOS
2023-12-23	MIN 3 - 2 BOS	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	9	0	0.56
1	BOS	13	0	0.37
2	MIN	16	0	0.73
2	BOS	16	0	0.84
3	MIN	20	0	1.28
3	BOS	20	1	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown