Edmonton Oilers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-12-14 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 57.6%
EDM: 42.4%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.12
EDM: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | MTL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | 0.862 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • MTL at home vs EDM: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MTL 4 - 1 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-23 | EDM 6 - 5 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-18 | MTL 3 - 0 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-19 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:28 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:58 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:38 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:29 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:52 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0