Buffalo Sabres at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-12-14 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 49.2%

BUF: 50.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.12

BUF: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA

Stat	SEA	BUF
Season SV%	0.903	0.906
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.82

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	23	20	3	87.0%	3.55	2	0.55
BUF	Alex Lyon	24	23	1	95.8%	2.96	3	1.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	1	0.46
1	BUF	11	0	0.74
2	SEA	19	2	1.45
2	BUF	16	1	1.26
3	SEA	19	0	1.06
3	BUF	13	1	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown