Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-12-15 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 56.3%
ANA: 43.7%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.01
ANA: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | NYR | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | ANA 5 - 3 NYR | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-15 | NYR 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | NYR |
| 2025-03-28 | ANA 5 - 4 NYR | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-26 | NYR 2 - 1 ANA | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-21 | ANA 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16:18 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:18 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:57 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:51 | ANA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0