Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-12-15 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 59.3%
OTT: 40.7%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.17
OTT: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | WPG | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs OTT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | OTT 4 - 2 WPG | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-15 | WPG 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | WPG |
| 2025-02-26 | OTT 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | OTT |
| 2024-12-28 | WPG 4 - 2 OTT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-30 | WPG 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10:47 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:37 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 18:35 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:06 | WPG | Goal |
| 4 | 02:11 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8