Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-12-15 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

DAL: 59.5%

LAK: 40.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.27

LAK: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs LAK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	10	1	0.63
1	LAK	17	2	1.31
2	DAL	12	3	1.34
2	LAK	18	0	1.09
3	DAL	14	1	1.41
3	LAK	9	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5