New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-12-16 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 2 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 55.9%
NYI: 44.1%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.04
NYI: 3.32
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | DET | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.841 | 0.940 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • DET at home vs NYI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | DET 3 - 2 NYI | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-20 | DET 0 - 5 NYI | NYI | DET |
| 2025-10-23 | NYI 7 - 2 DET | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-11-25 | NYI 2 - 4 DET | DET | NYI |
| 2024-11-21 | DET 2 - 1 NYI | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:27 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:43 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 11:26 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 03:55 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 02:03 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3