Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-12-16 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5 - 0 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 48.0%

WSH: 52.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.07

WSH: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs WSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	MIN 5 - 0 WSH	MIN	WSH
2025-10-17	WSH 5 - 1 MIN	WSH	WSH
2025-03-27	MIN 4 - 2 WSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-02	WSH 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WSH
2024-01-23	MIN 5 - 3 WSH	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.80
1	WSH	15	1	1.01
2	MIN	21	2	1.88
2	WSH	18	0	1.25
3	MIN	14	0	0.71
3	WSH	10	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 0 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0