Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-12-16 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 6 - 3 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 47.8%

CGY: 52.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.07

CGY: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SJS at home vs CGY: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	18	0	1.37
1	CGY	12	0	0.59
2	SJS	13	0	0.65
2	CGY	12	1	0.81
3	SJS	13	3	2.22
3	CGY	15	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 6 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1