Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-12-16 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 29.0%

COL: 71.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.33

COL: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Stat	SEA	COL
Season SV%	0.920	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.32	2.07

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	39	34	5	87.2%	5.05	3	0.05
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	38	35	3	92.1%	5.47	6	2.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SEA at home vs COL: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	19	1	2.01
1	COL	13	0	0.92
2	SEA	17	3	1.88
2	COL	24	0	1.36
3	SEA	19	2	1.58
3	COL	21	3	2.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown